/biz/ - Business & Finance

When the 4 week jobless claims average makes a 1 year high, while the unemployment rate is above its 12 month moving average and it’s below 5%, the average 1 year change is -20.16%. The first time this occurs in 3 months is used to avoid overlaps. Currently, the jobless claims are at their one year high (250 above the next highest report), the unemployment rate is below 5% (at 4%), and the unemployment rate is 0.1% above its 12 month moving average. The 2 month average return is - 4.26%.

https://upfina.com/low-inflation-fueling-rally-but-stocks-could-fall-20-16-in-the-next-year/