/biz/ - Business & Finance

>>16985019
wait I meant an inflationary event in terms of dollars right... hold up I always get it mixed up
fewer people means more resources for everyone, but also less consumption.
but in terms of total cash flows throughout the system, less dollars are required. if the fed keeps the rate of printing money steady after a ~10% die-off of adults, that is inflationary compared to the case where those people don't die

if it's a nothingburger and no one dies, but people panic and buy consumer goods, that is deflationary (I think)
basically IMO the fed shouldn't be taking an unnecessary actions yet, they need to be making detailed plans, but don't act until things happen. Keep it steady.

I also agree that it's absurd that our elections is between a bunch of 80 year olds.
Right now IV is higher than it was Mon-Thurs last week, but it could be set to get a whole lot higher over the next two weeks as panic rises and eventually plateaus. If you're trying to just trade healthcare based on election probabilities, I think the China thing is too big of an externality to ignore.

>>14886517
then they don't really know anything
they deserve to fail
no problem

https://nypost.com/2019/06/11/hong-kong-will-beijing-send-in-the-tanks/

Hong Kong anon are you okay?
DO you need us to send in a carrier battle group or two to extradite you to safer venue?
pls respond
>>14104930
ya we get it you just found out about spreads

>>13970866
o.o
If the cryptos slide us off the board they can take all the dollars for themselves?
/smg/ is a rude reminder to the crypto gamblers on the losing side

>>13970781
It would be nice to see some real and serious movement in US manufacturing
Would be nice to see Amazon make something here.
Will President Trump's ever-increasing tariffs eventually help TSLA? Probably won't make any difference in the grand scheme of things.
I'm trying to think of which companies will do better or worse if the trends continue

Uhhhh I actually work for a European company but I work for an American branch of it, so I think I'm OK

>>13808175
I didn't do the offering so I could buy these cheap shares at real prices. cheap prices
feels good dabbing on retail with the big boys :^)

>>13580639
a couple million can't move a thing

you sound like the bear kids bitching since late 2008 until now that QE broke their shorts

you're getting mad that the market prices are moving in ways that you don't understand

get mad then
call it manipulated like that means anything
of course it's all manipulated why wouldn't it be
more surprising if it weren't considering what's at stake

I'll say again: with that kind of attitude, where you misunderstand then get mad about it, you should just get out
you have no chance

>>13352311

pay attention to what people are saying but don't believe it

99% of all the things you read on investing/trading blogs are there because the person writing it can talk finance jargon but can't generate real gains. If they could, they wouldn't be demanding a monthly fee to give you advice in the form of crap articles

if you can't figure out a way to beat indices on your own, there is no amount of investment-related blog articles that will help you. either fight and learn and win the prize, or give up and invest boomer-style

>>13061884
>>13061809

I think it is important to point out that high beta is okay WITH DIVERSIFICATION and proper bet sizing.
I've got friends who are my age (<30) who will hear advice like you are giving and then go all in on crypto or weed stock options.
Extreme volatility trading is still better than gambling (house margin is smaller), but it isn't a viable long-term strategy if you are putting yourself is positions to lose 5%, 10%, or much more of your principal at one time.

NOTHING that you can get in terms of gains in the short term is more powerful than compound interest.
Compound interest ONLY works based on your principal. If you fully wipe out, or lose >30% of your principal in a couple trades, you will have an extremely hard time making that back and growing your stack in a meaningful way.

>>13061936
you mean you are long dollar or genuinely short commods?
I have no idea what to do about gold and oil right now, I could sell metals into cash but I'm feeling neutral.