/biz/ - Business & Finance

Equal occurence rates for all 4 scenarios because 50/50 on the sexes as brainlets love to say.
GG
GB
BG
BB
#1 50% boy in house
GG: .5 occurence rate of G
GB: .25 occurence rate of G
BG: .25 occurence rate of G
BB: Ruled out
#2 33% boy in house
GG: .67 occurence rate of G
GB: .33 occurence rate of G
BG: Ruled out
BB: Ruled out

>>12295932
Read this example again if you don't understand how you can be more likely to be in one situation as opposed to another based on what you are observing. Look up the boy girl paradox on wikipedia this is a rehashing of that for less ambiguity. An investing forum that doesn't understand probability is not a place worth spending time.