/biz/ - Business & Finance

hope your shorts got filled anon

>>51221682
>everybody was shocked when the crazy old man declared war
I certainly didn't expect russia to invade ukraine, but to be fair, there were plenty of warning signs before the military buildup along the border took place. The composition of russian banking reserves (i.e. buying gold). Building of pipelines to china/india. And the spark which gave russia the signal that little time was left for them to utilize the military strategic option, UN inviting ukraine into NATO. Russia had prepared for this moment ever since 2014, and their ability to quickly recalibrate their trade (i.e. replacing europe with middle east/india/china) after the western sanctions I believe is proof of that. The russian service sector is ofc the worst off from the sanctions, but the core of the russian economy which is energy/commodities has largely made up for the loss on the services side. All the sanctions achieved was to introduce turkey/saudi arabia/china/india as middle men to europe, effectively "laundering" russia oil and gas back into europe at a steep premium. It's clear in retrospect that russia's preparation for the sanctions was much more well thought through than the sanctions themselves. Just look at the state of negotiations between the EU and russia regarding gas flows... clearly the leverage is in russia's favor. And to think orange man bad warned the EU of this years ago, is divine comedy.

>>50649441
Liquidity gets reduced on every crash. We had a nice crash below $20k a few weeks ago, that sucked out a metric fuckton of liquidity.
Less liquidity means it takes less buying pressure to move price up the same distance as before.
Whether the price is moving due to large predatory market participants painting traps for technical traders and momentum chasers, or simply due to continuation momentum out of a knee jerk reaction from oversold conditions, we don't really know as we don't have that much information to say one way or the other. But essentially, those are your options. And you will be surprised how often it doesn't even need a narrative to move big, remember that markets are irrational as all fuck and will do stupid shit every now and again because at certain points in time (peak FOMO, or panic selling into a crash) the majority of participants are, well, retarded. Sometimes the market is retarded, and when it is, that presents a potential opportunity.