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>> No.52690692 [View]
File: 63 KB, 1526x675, SPX.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
52690692

>>52690543
The probability analysis in pic related is giving you a 5% chance, without including the break even. The options data is giving you an 8% chance. But with the volatility skew on the SP 500 index, the odds are close to 3% or 4%. Again, breakeven not included.

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