/biz/ - Business & Finance

>>53503546
i remember moona soona in joona

>>18038094

Anon that's as far as I can see almost the lower bound of scenarios.

The problem is the upper bound is really way out there, quite a bit above the most likely scenario. That's not a comfort, you should take it as meaning we have near unlimited potential for failure on a civilizational level here.

I'm not worried about nuclear war, there's no incentive to start one when a state is more pre-occupied with their own citizens

Most realistic worse case - hyper inflation and/or US defaults > USD collapse causes total economic cascading failure > welfare states unsustainable when no economic activity to tax > everywhere is Venezuela at best, Somalia at worst now. > Famine > no fertiliser production > more famine > untended fields > dust bowl > 4-ply famine > .coronavirus is a distant memory now > Finally a little ice age is triggered > CHARMIN ULTRA FAMINE WITH ALOE VERA

1+ billion dead by 2031, society restarts from subsistence farming shortly after, just with modern knowledge. Still takes us 20 years to get back to being able to sustain 1987 level technology.due to having to physically rebuild 99% of infrastructure.

Basically imagine we wipe the slate clean and then we get Special Economic Zone levels of development as we play catch-up.

In the most fucked scenario that's our lives, except you're probably one of the people who died a quarter of the way back. I don't think it will happen. But I would not rule it out. 98% confidence. 1 in 50 chance and a lot of really bad scenarios that are more likely. 1 in 50 is not good odds.

>>17909888

What the fuck have I done.