/biz/ - Business & Finance

>>14531728
>>use m1 finance and you can basically make your own etfs

isnt that just called making a portfolio?

>>12326946
I just know most fall into being gen eds for ME's, and extra theoretical physics (subatomic, and relativity) has only made it more redundant

throw in a couple game theory courses, and it becomes even more clear

>>12326977
no it does not approximate to a bell curve, using any/all historical data, it becomes a chi-squared or F distribution (weighed heavily on the positive end)

(black line is index's return over same time period)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KqMQsxbpS4U&list=RDa6BbvCC0VI0&index=3

>>12030420
>>if I think we are due for a recession should I buy when there is a bounce off this super low?
you should go all in when we at lowest point (which you wont know until its already too late to buy)
idk, I react to the market, I dont try to predict it

>Also, can you name a few good reverse ETF's which can be found on vangaurd?
idk, I use robinhood because poor
try googling it? (not being a dick,m genuinly dont know, and i dont care to google it for you)

>>12030377
BA has had an insane run for the past year or so, im up +100% ish from a share i got in november 2016

>>12030449
I havnt watched Geass in a good 8 or 9 years, im sure it doesnt hold up

ill look into it when im done with final exam week next thursday

>>11770963
ignore ETF's, buy individual stocks

make your portfolio 200+ different stocks, and skip on the shit companies

its like buying an ETF, but better

>>11662842
most random portfolio benchmarks ive seen assume equal weight for each stock
not a problem if you have 200 stocks worth $1 or less each, but if the randomizer picks AMZN one month, then you better have 200x whatever AMZN's current price is
(or it it picks BRK.A, you better be a multimillionaire) so there are real world constraints on it

and just because it works 90% of the time, doesnt guarantee that you will be one of the 90% that it works with

I think K-means and HCA technically have a better return distrubution too, but you have to be very active to do those well

pic related, black line is S&P 500 returns over the same period of time

>>11380417
>>where are you even getting this?
google search
>is it truly 'random' or is it more like picking 50 of the top 100 by mcap in SP500
random as in let a retarded 2 year old pick your stocks, or use a random seed generator to y/n each stock

>>11380418
dont worry about it

>>11380444
true, it assumes you invest the same dollar amount, not # of stocks
so youre assuming a portfolio with enough cash to do this, with your most expensive stock being your greatest common denominator

>>11380455
I believe it says positions are reset randomly at the end of each month

>>10939454
>If I put effort in and semi actively trade, like hold things for a week to 6 months or more at a time, can you relatively easily beat the 'buy and do nothing' of like 8% annually? My goal is to spend maybe 10 hours a week and look for a 25% annual return so I can retire within 15 years or so, is that possible when dealing with low amounts of money, relative to the market makers? I'm talking my goal is like $2m total before I move back into index funds and say fuck it I'm retired
yes
just buy a bunch of different stocks (50+), and hold

you will have a 95% chance of beating the SP500 index fund by just doing that

pic related, the black line is SP500 return rate

>>10883442
because odds are, picking a bunch of random stocks (and holding them) will outperform the market

it is a statistical fact, there is no debate

>>10768131
>Everyone believes that but it's just wrong.
>History has shown that it's basically impossible to correctly pick stocks in the long term.

na, its basicly impossible to research a bunch of stocks that will do good long term

buying random stocks statistically has better returns than the S&P though
the trick is to do no research whatsoever, and buy many stocks (100% portfolio in one random stock has low odds of beating S&P, but 50 random stocks? works (essentially) every time)

so if you want to get good, let a 3 year old pick a list of what stocks to buy, then just hold

the only thing you need is diversity and patience
pic related, the black line is S&P 500 return, compared to other investing strategies