/biz/ - Business & Finance

>>58429771
>that it would make oil prices rise higher forcing inflation higher (forcing bond prices lower)
if inflation goes up, they need to raise the bond yields, which makes the bond prices go low

it the inflation starts lowering, they can lower bond yields, but this can make inflation go back up if they didn't keep rates high enough

if they keep rates high enough for too long, people cant pay mortgages, businesses cant pay debt

so what the fuck is the outcome? how do we profit from this?

so far theres no recesion at all

my theisis was pic related. just wait for shit to hit the fan, which would be confirmed by they being forced to lower rates, and capitulate into a hard landing, however, if no hard landing, then you will miss on mega gains as QE starts with no recesion, but this may strike back harder with higher inflation

holy fuck wtf are you supposed todo. so far is just me lossing on gains sidelined. fuck probably when i go all in i will get dumped on by a confirmed recesoin. ufufckucfukc

>>57453945
>finally buys
>crash begins

>>57450748
oh sweaty

>>57448524

buy btc at 25k

>>57437525
kek

>entire economy betting on a soft landing this time
you just know some bullshit black swan will quick in around Q2 and crash the entire market as the FED is forced to lower rates

but they are going to lower rates soon because otherwise the crash will be worse than what will be isnt it

i expect rates being lowered q2 and btc into 20k and sp into low 4000's.

>>57420240
Well the whole market is betting on a soft landing. If not, then we will crash when they lower rates.

>>57417990
>and the lowering of rates

>>57401941
>08 ZIRP pump
what pump? when rates went to 0 shit collapsed

>>57384014
>lowering rates

>>57371896
The halving was bullish because people had money. Now everyone will be broke due interest rates catching up with reality by the time they lower rates.

Explain how shit doesn't crash by the time they start lowering rates just like everytime since 2000 (pre 2000 irrelevant) unless you are the retarded that believes this time soft landing is real.

>rate cuts
Where will the Sp500 bottom be? inb4 soft landing

>>57042660