/biz/ - Business & Finance

>>51491243
>At 4% is when there is even a chance of them taking a pause. But that target will likely change as we get closer. He originally wanted 3.5% by mid 2023 earlier this year, now he wants 4%. Bet by Q1 next year its 5% and "it was always 5%".

just look at what the eurodollar futures curve is pricing in and thats probably going to be it

Feb / Mar 2023 is 95.50
100 - 95.5 = 4.50%
eurodollars market expects rates to be 4.5% by March 2023. this is the same market that priced in a recession back in Nov / Dec 2021, 9 months in advance and they were right. so yea they know more than you