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>> No.19414130 [View]
File: 290 KB, 941x2421, CFNAI.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
19414130

>>19413954
>Led by declines in production- and employment-related indicators, the Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) fell to –16.74 in April from –4.97 in March. All four broad categories of indicators used to construct the index made negative contributions in April, and all four categories decreased from March. The index’s three-month moving average, CFNAI-MA3, decreased to –7.22 in April from –1.69 in March. Following a period of economic expansion, an increasing likelihood of a recession has historically been associated with a CFNAI-MA3 value below –0.70.
I assume they're keeping an eye on the trends outside of SPX.
https://www.chicagofed.org/publications/cfnai/index
https://www.chicagofed.org/research/data/cfnai/current-data

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