/biz/ - Business & Finance

>>56332703
No, they haven't. Relief rally.
This is what bonds looked like - very oversold, bigly out of average true range
Bond relief rally, prompted by flight to quality from Israel conflict
Israel = nothingburger = flight to quality, relief rally will die
The fundamentals have not changed whatsoever for yields to peak. Inflation moving higher. Saudis, China, Japan, EU will continue to dump US bonds.
The bond relief rally could go for days or even weeks, but it will 100% inevitably die, and yields will again move higher

>>56332554
Lmao you are down on your TLT position
it's up 0.27% today
Buddy, we have all known that bonds were oversold - this is a technical relief rally, across the whole market
This is what bonds looked like a week ago
>pic related
SEE, I'M A GENIUS FOR BUYING TLT (AT $100+)!!!
L m a o.
Bond relief rally = market wide relief rally
It will not last, bond yields will again, move higher
Yields have not peaked, as much as the market wants to believe they did
RELIEF RALLY. That's it. Nothing can go straight down, even an asset that overarching market forces will continue to push down
Bonds will bounce, and then short them again

>>56191194
We'll see - even bond market should see relief rally too
and/or (literally) the Federal Reserve will start "secretly" buying 10yrs and propping up market
Bond market relief rally, stocks relief rally
I do not disagree that we are on the edge of the cliff, looking over the edge
but we are more likely to take several steps back from the cliff, than to jump and swandive off it here, imo. It is not time, yet.
>pic related - looking at the same thing "two" ways - 10yr is oversold