/biz/ - Business & Finance

>>30248271
"Thus begins my thousand year reign of bear!"

THE GREAT CRASH IS UPON US. SELL EVERYTHING. U.S MARKETS WILL PLUNGE 40% IN THE NEXT 5 WEEKS.

SCREEN CAP

NASDAQ crash coming soon, this week. NASDAQ will fall 30% in the next 5 weeks. Screen cap this. The bubble is bursting

NASDAQ will fall 30% in the next 5 weeks. Screen cap this

Stock Funds See Biggest Inflows Ever as BofA Warns Top Is Near

In one week ending this past Wednesday, $22.9 billion flowed into stock funds.

BofA’s gauge of market sentiment-- the so-called Bull & Bear indicator-- is approaching levels of extreme bullishness, which can trigger a sell signal that hasn’t been set off since January 2018, according to the note.

BofA b&b indicator before 2008 sell off: 8.0

Current BofA b&b indicator: 7.7

Fed to test bank ability to withstand 55% fall in equity price

S&P 500 Shiller CAPE Ratio

In Yale economist and Nobel laureate Robert Shiller’s book Irrational Exuberance, he introduced a price/earnings ratio for the S&P 500 that averages inflation-adjusted earnings over the prior ten year. Today’s Shiller P/E multiples are the highest they have been in two decades.

Dot com bubble: 44
Today: 35


Warren Buffett’s favorite valuation metric, a simple ratio of the total U.S. stock market capitalization to annual gross domestic product, effectively gives market watchers a reference point for current prices.

The current stock market value of $42 trillion, compares to annual GDP of $21 trillion. One year after the dot-com bubble popped, Buffett said the unprecedented highs should have served as a strong warning signal. "If the ratio approaches 200%—as it did in 1999 and a part of 2000—you are playing with fire," said Buffett.

Current Buffet Indicator: 195%
Dot com bubble Indicator: 159%

Margin debt balances have exploded on Wall Street, recently hitting an all-time high of $778 billion—nearly 37 times the $21 billion investors held in March 2000. However, the more important metric to focus on is margin debt to cash in customer accounts. It’s currently at 72% more debt than cash, versus 79% at the peak of the dot-com bubble. Speculation is contagious

In one week ending this past Wednesday, $22.9 billion flowed into stock funds.

This has been the biggest weekly inflow since March 2008.

In 2008, after big inflows into the stock market happened, the stock market crashed. Most well-structured conservative portfolios lost one-half of their value. Momentum stocks lost 80 - 95% of their value.

BofA’s gauge of market sentiment-- the so-called Bull & Bear indicator-- is approaching levels of extreme bullishness, which can trigger a sell signal that hasn’t been set off since January 2018, according to the note.

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-02-12/stock-funds-see-biggest-inflows-ever-as-bofa-warns-top-is-near

Fed to test bank ability to withstand 55% fall in equity price

https://www.ft.com/content/a262314b-f518-4e69-8db4-fa88b6729aab

Today’s Shiller P/E multiples are the highest they have been in two decades.

Dot com bubble: 44
Today: 35

Warren Buffett’s favorite valuation metric, a simple ratio of the total U.S. stock market capitalization to annual gross domestic product, effectively gives market watchers a reference point for current prices.

The current stock market value of $42 trillion, compares to annual GDP of $21 trillion. One year after the dot-com bubble popped, Buffett said the unprecedented highs should have served as a strong warning signal. "If the ratio approaches 200%—as it did in 1999 and a part of 2000—you are playing with fire," said Buffett.

Current Buffet Indicator: 195%
Dot com bubble Indicator: 159%

Margin debt balances have exploded on Wall Street, recently hitting an all-time high of $778 billion—nearly 37 times the $21 billion investors held in March 2000. However, the more important metric to focus on is margin debt to cash in customer accounts. It’s currently at 72% more debt than cash, versus 79% at the peak of the dot-com bubble. Speculation is contagious

TLDR; The Stock Market Will Crash, Screen cap this

>>28534195

Bitcoin is going to $0 for bears, because they don’t have any Bitcoin.

Degenerate weak handed gamblers BTFO and shaken out. Rightfully so. Strap in boys.