/biz/ - Business & Finance

>>18555799
>Current model on deaths has been revised down to about 60k total.

You mean the same models that is failing absurdly just about every day?

You mean the same model that justs few days ago predicted a total of 20333 deaths for Italy for the duration of the whole epidemy? The prediction in picture was on 12th April. The 3 month prediction was blown over in 2.5 days. Today, a week after, Italy is standing at ~24k deaths. New prediction is 26k lol. Again, going to be blown over in 4 days.

And this is exactly the same model US is using for their figures. https://covid19.healthdata.org/italy

It has nothing to do with modeling lol. Almost feels like some retard is trying to fit a normal distribution to it and calling it an epidemic model lol.

>>18501466
Lmao that is the shittiesit model I've ever seen. Go to Italy and see how it's projected death number for whole epidemy is passed every 2 days. This was their prediction a few days ago. Now they predict 21.3k, but the number is already over 22k