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>> No.17504272 [View]
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17504272

>>17504207
The r0 was miscalculated because the infected were unaware that they were carrying a disease which no one in the population has immunities for.
Of course a disease that 99% of the population has been exposed to already is going to spread less quickly.
Now, everyone experiencing flu-like symptoms will consider that it could be the flu or it could be coronavirus and so obviously this will bring the r0 down to next to nothing.
Your r0 figures are probably using initial data as well since the number of new cases per day is actually decreasing rapidly as is evidenced by this chart.

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