/biz/ - Business & Finance

It took 8 years for smartphones to take over. I Think in terms of driverless cars you have to look to history and see how long it took cars to replace horses. and that was way before the regulatory happy bureaucracy of today. There's not even any real pilot programs in the wild.

>In the US, between 1920 and 1939, depending on the area. It took about 23 years to fully replace the cheap buggy, starting from when the Model T was made in volume in 1916, to the end of the Great Depression in 1939, (which had hurt new car sales and gas sales).
>Long answer: The answer depends on whether you are talking city or country. In the cities, cars took over shortly after Henry Ford, so cars dominated by about 1920. Many cities banned horses, because of manure and dead animals left in the road. (The stench alone was awful). In the countryside, they dominated until about 1939 when the Depression ended. (Exception: the Amish, who still drive them in small numbers today).