/biz/ - Business & Finance

>>26302937
We will probably not have a recession in 2022 either. It usually starts 6-12 months after a yield curve inversion, and the unspecified illness of unknown origin has re-reversed it in march.

>>26277243
>>26277209
Nah, the corollavirus delayed the crash by re-reversing the yield curve.

Market crash started, I hope you cashed out today I sure did and lost 10% of my portfolio but it's better than 99%. After long weekend all of the stocks will be worthless. Now I'm going to get drunk
> t. Fed insider

>>25893112
>>25893063
>>25893143
I forgot the fucking pic

>>25893146
Cash, maybe bonds if the fed decides to up the interest rate. Maybe some good divvie companies or upcomers with good ... *gasp* ... fundamentals.

>>25892698
The market won't "pop". The dotcom bubble's "pop" was a relatively slow decline in a year. People didn't realize that the ATH was in March until like september.
It's more of a slow tire deflation than a pop.
BRRRR and Inflation is actually going to delay the "pop", as will the 0 interest rates.

>>25744591
2023+. The recession was due in 2021, but the corollavirus and fed brrr gave us 2 more years.

>>25699949
It's not inverted currently. But it's pretty important.

>>25660255
Look at yield curve inversion. We've got 2 more years because of the corollavirus.

>>25641493
IF long term treasury bonds yield less than short term bonds (meaning people really do expect a huge downturn), it usually ends in a crash like half a year later.

I am a 23 years old student (engineering) no debt no loans, I have some money (20k) in savings.
In december I wrote a program in order to predict stocks, and used it as a help for myself in a stock simulator (real data).
I invested 10k and got 27k in a month, so a net of 17k.
So far you may say "cool, what's your problem?"
The problem it's that the positions I opened in the last of December are in lost by 8k, this because of the coronavirus.
The point it's about this post it's that cataclysms, recessions and other things happens and they are very "perturbative" for the stocks.
I don't invest by "feelings" or other sensations, numbers are what matters, I evaluate the risk and take decisions.
I would like to enter the market as soon as the nCoV-2019 problem will be solved.
But as far as i know a 2021 recession it's very likely.
I checked companies that performed well during the 2008 crysis (like McDonald's) but as far as i know there is nothing sure, and bad things might happen.
So I am here asking for your opinion.
Do you think that would be quite safe to enter the stock now?
And if yes, should I do it with leverage or not?
Thanks.