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>> No.17067054 [View]
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17067054

>>17066982
The infection numbers in Hubei aren't the main concern for the markets. Things like quarantines and travel restrictions are what matters, and if the infections in other provinces/other countries start to look out-of-control.
We should know in the next 1-3 weeks if there will be any significant impact outside of China or now, and within China, how many of the provinces outside of Hubei are significantly impacted. If the ex-Hubei infection numbers are spreading exponentially anywhere, then it matters. Otherwise, almost all those case numbers that will be growing until March/April are quarantined to one or two cities. In which case the market will completely not care.

>>17067019
>5-8% drop tomorrow
to clarify, do you mean in mainland Chinese exchange or the US? I should hope we wouldn't fall by that much (even if it would be very profitable for me).
On the other hand, I would put a Chinese drop at 8%+. Even with their government buying their stocks, I don't see how they could have stocks end up less than 8% down tomorrow.

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