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>> No.17697346 [View]
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17697346

>>17697308
Suggests that 2.5 trillion will be infected at the same time at the peak. The coefficients are derived from an Ro of 2.5 and a 30 day time to recovery (or death, which is treated the same since its no longer infectious.) Quarantines would decrease Ro but be unlikely to drop it below 1 (so, just shift the curves to the right.)

The point I was looking for with it was timing.

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